likelihood

There is a high likelihood of rain this afternoon, so don't forget your umbrella.

(Chinese) 今天下午下雨的可能性很大，所以别忘了带伞。

Investing in small startups carries a greater likelihood of failure but higher potential returns.

(Chinese) 投资小型初创企业失败的可能性更大，但潜在回报也更高。